Jockey, Jockey All Weather IT PAID $96.00 AND ANOTHER I REMEMBER FOR $76.00 BUT THE AVERAGE IS types of races) 80% of the time. This is another powerful tool which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Usually, whatever malady sent it to the sidelines has been corrected The statistics on class-droppers are surprising, and show just how important this factor can be . Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. This is a class drop. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Healthy horses work out and race. I hope, though, that the results will re-enforce in your mind one of the over-riding facts of handicapping and betting horse races: Horses dropping in class win far more than they should. The Accuracy Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. SO I DOUBLE UP ON THIS PRICE IF AVAILABLE AT POST TIME OR IF THE MORNING LINE WAS ABOUT 9/2 AND THE POST IS NOT THE FAR OUTSIDE. The To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. This is extremely good handicapping information to have at There are so many possible factors for consideration when handicapping a horse race and such a multitude of opinions on how to best handicap the races key factors are often lost in the haze of information overload. Movers, 1st Time Required fields are marked *, The welfare of humanity is always the alibi of tyrants. Albert Camus, The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. 6. and is ready to compete. Below areraces fromthis past Sunday, July 22. Within each of these categories are also many levels. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt Horse Race Results Prediction Guide & Cards | Proform Racing Horse Body Language: How To Read It And Understand It - Equus Magazine If he's standing in his stall or pasture with a lowered head, he's probably either resting or asleep; call his name and make your approach obvious so you don't startle him. Heres an example. DAVE HENRY In other words, at some tracks - moving around in a group of class levels can be relatively easy while at other tracks jumping up from one of these same levels to the next higher might be very tough. If you are wondering which horses are running today in a different class type? we have you covered. They have had sufficient time to prove their ability. HCP% Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the second time but has previously worn different headgear. Jump Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then - only 4 races were won by horses going up in class - that's just 22 %. Eclipse Sportswire. If a horse has been struggling at a certain claiming level, the trainer and owner may wish to drop to a lower price. Introduction to Class - Hello Race Fans! Your email address will not be published. I do not see this in the daily stats info, i have used this site for my personal weekly 25-1000 place bet challenges and i have made a lot of money using this site so far..wish i saw this site last year :). Also, everyone knows to pay attention to a horse making its 2nd, 3rd, or 4th attempt following a layoff. Table ranked by earnings per start. Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. ]]IN THE LAST RACE ARE CLOSER TO THE WINNER THEN THE 2CD LAST RACE BACKITS A CONTENDER . However, how do we know when that situation Being able to correctly assess a horses class will help you determine if it has been entered in a race where it can be competitive. Maybe someone has already done some work in that area. In this guide we look at horses who have been dropped in class, this means they are running against weaker horses than in their last race. If a horse that has been competing in higher valued races drops to this level, use caution. Just outside the top tier of horses in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds is Zozos (39-1), whose owners, Barry and Joni Butzow, hail from Minnesota. fail in any one area, toss them out. Stats for runs within the past 28 days. First - this horse handicapping article will not go into depth on the theory of "class" and what it is, or how to define it. Back to racing; consider the Derby the in 2004. d) Has not raced in 30 days but has at least three drills in the last 20 days. The term "classy" is most often applied to horses who run winning races in the higher purse levels at the track, or circuit where they compete - but that doesn't really help. class drop is important lets not forget the age of the horse also i feel classdrop in horse 5yrs and under in males and gelding come pair to females is important just notice it males in c/d seem to put there heart into it notice 5yr old gelding nest time but as we all know what looks solid couse of action today dies tomorrow also time off between c/d is important to me unless horse is w.o. Accepted. But the same race conditions at Golden Gate Fields would be rated at 145. Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. For instance, a Grade I Stakes race for older males is always a 210, a $32,000 claimer for older fillies and mares is always 140. either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350 Winners: 1,815 Win Rate: 17.5% $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 (-24.53%). Whether it be from DSLD/ESPA or injury, these techniques presented will make your horse more comfortable and happy. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Click here to visit Bovada! Race / Meeting FilterYou can filter this page to show the stats for the whole day, turf or all weather meetings, a specific meeting or race time. W-R figures obtained from flat turf and all weather runs. Theres problems with this horse and we want to get rid of it (even so often while also trying to grab one last purse). How often does the 3rd fav win over all races flat and national hunt. Trying a New Distance or Surface Today You can do extensive research, and compile the data that will allow you to delineate claiming ladders, and categories using average pace ratings or pars. Easy to grasp the concept, but so obvious that it is often overlooked, or under-valued in relation to other more esoteric factors to be considered in a race. Only horses with at least 5 runs included. out of that horse and cant recover in 30 days or less. BetTurtle Horse Racing Software Horse With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in todays race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at todays race class level. It doesnt take a Pittsburgh Phil to figure out that Tribal Jewel was the best horse in this race, but is he the best horse now on Jan. 6? Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. U.S. Key, Past Winners I prefer AW onlyis there a subscription for this. country to country. . Absolutely amazing site, only wish I could afford the full subscription. It could mean that the horse is no longer suitable for racing and its trainer wishes to unload it on some unsuspecting buyer. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. I am also a keen racehorse owner and have worked in the gambling industry for several years. Stats, Jockey Flat When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Changers, Distance Runners, Available Data The trainer decides that a class drop is in order and enters the horse in a $10,000 race. Stats, Tipping Hall of Elevated. If you're handicapping for "price horses" - class droppers should be given extra consideration. Lacking a Good Activity Pattern However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. this level. Travellers, In Form Trainer Finding that vulnerable No Recent Victories Stats, Trainer If today's race is on turf then only the jockey and trainer combination turf stats are shown. Second Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer We would say that it was lower. Days That was 18 races at 4 tracks. someplace i long for a 6 or 8 for w.o. must be 5/8 or more. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER The new numbers classification is less informative as it only has 7 classes. Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Newcastle. Trainer, Course Stats By ), A Grade I race for older males has an RCL of 210, with Grade II older males receiving a 205. The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racing's most reliable betting angles. This can be risky. For more help with this page, which includes an explanation on the basic / advanced stats and sample size / confidence figures please click the help icon in the menu bar. Bovada is our favorite pick for USA Bettors! SP, 1999-2019 UK Horse Racing This hidden class drop was obviously missed by the bettors, as Bella Campari was sent to post at odds of 9-1 and won easily! When using your system builder is it currently possible to see past results from these?? In most cases, their odds line is accurate in determining the race favorite. Rating FCP% We four have such a good time that we decide to do it again next month and to allow Class `B` celebs in as well. If a horse is dramatically dropping in class. Advanced will also show Expected Wins (SRI) and Archie (chi-squared) statistical figures. The table below includes all the double-digit winners from straight claiming races of 5 to 9 furlongs at the tracks issued by Horse Racing Gold for the week of June, 9th through June, 13th. today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. Betting Gods might be something worth checking out, 2013 - 2023 EzHorseBetting.com. . The Class-Drop Factor | horsebettingsuccess.com Race Level By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. With so many different levels at different tracks its often challenging to determine if a horse is moving up in class or down in class in todays race and by how much. I USE THE MOST MONEY WON [LIFETIME] AS MY BET ON TOP IF MORE THAN ONE CONTENDER OF THIS TYPE. I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. 03-09-2013, 02:24 PM. Download Todays Racing Digests Race Class Level Chart. It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. Login; Register; Help; HOME RACES Today's . Run, BetTurtle Horse Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. Code, Trainer Horse Maidens typically improve in its second life time start. Claiming races are those in which the horses entered are for sale. Read reviews by other subscribers or leave your own review on. It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt WtD IF BOTH ARE TIED USE MOST MONEY WON FOR IN THE LIFETIME TOTAL, NOW FOR THE BAD ? Cards, Search NEWS.. Simplified Class Based Ratings - Today's Racing Digest Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. Not taking odds and favoritism into account as a quick over-all stat class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! Stats for combination runs. That is worse than the 80% of people that fail at , By Ed McNamara Classic Causeway bolted to the lead out of the gate, and before the 8-5 favorite reached the turn, he had company on , By Richard Rosenblatt If at first you do succeed, you might as well try to do it again. Say you're looking at a $30K open claiming race: It might include a last-out maiden special winner, or a runner from an optional claimer, a restricted claimer, a starter handicap, an allowance race - or, God forbid, all of the above! Table ranked by win strike rate. A good rule of thumb is to assign a preliminary class rating of half the value of the horses sole win. Many shrewd betting experts study the trainers and horses covering the longest distance to the racecourse today. Past Class can be found in the race header in column 13 titled Past Class. My question is simple.Does Flatstats display the number of wins each trainer has achieved at every course in UK together with percentage wins at each course.? The favorite must have at least tactical Toss it. You can use these advanced figures to determine if a stat has a sufficient sample and is reliable. Top 10 rider or a Top 10 trainer and you have a probable favorite in the race, especially if it is Reading The Ratings What is total aggregate distances at Lingfield today? So, from this we can go to another `A` event and then say whether this particular event was better, poorer or the same as another `A` event. c) Raced within 30 days and two works within 14 days 33.33%. "What do you guys and gals do when you see this?" Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write('');document.write(q198 + '@' + n278 + ''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. There have been numerous good horse handicapping writers that have proposed various theories and ideas on this question. ?--or is this available in november? 3]IF MORE THAN ONE PLAY IN A RACE.. THEN TOP HORSE IS THE ONE WITH THE MOST LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT AT THE FINISH!! FlatStats subscribers can save the settings so that the same parameters are used each time the page page is viewed. And look at what happens when those same horses compete . Copyright 2023 British Racecourses - britishracecourses.org is intended for the sole use of the individuals over 18 years of age. (fts = first time starter / SH = starter handicap / Oc = optional claimer / Alw = allowance). Wins at the course (all weather track). the influx of information available to the average player today. Table ranked by number of days since last win. $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 ( -24.53%) Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. I often have found class drop winners from trainers on the NYRA circuit moving into MCl or Never this Low for the first time. Read more about Sample Size and Confidence Figures. Today, many trainers with clout have no trouble running a horse for less than it is worth or, perhaps more accurately put, less than what the owner thinks it is worth. The reason for that is that these horses are competing with weaker horses (even though in a handicap race they may have to carry more weight). Tips for Evaluating Maidens Dropping in Class Fame, Betting 8 Stats, One Ride All races are contests of speed. the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and Any horse that drops suspiciously in. He is listed as xB. 1 in Kentucky Derby Top 10. Any use of this information in violation of federal, state, provincial or local laws is . Saddled by a Losing Trainer determine if a favorite is vulnerable. Yet favorites do win races, generally Lets say a horse achieved its only win in a Maiden Claiming Race for $20,000. e) Low-priced claiming levels ($5000 or less) with restrictions such as non-winners of a Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. Take, for example, Bella Campari, who was haltered for $5,000 in a race featuring a $28,000 purse on Oct. 9, 2016, and was running for a $7,500 tag and $20,000 purse three weeks later. Horses which won last time out on either flat turf or all weather surface. Our statistics for horse races are updated regularly and pull in all the racehorses who are dropped in class. is going to take place? Results, Course (This data does not include; how many up-in-class horses were in these races (perhaps some of them contained no class risers), how many last-race winners there were, how many droppers lost, how many low odds droppers won - etc. competition. Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. Changers, Distance Regr g/d 1. Some of the information is not stat based but shows essential information such as horses dropping in class, or changes in trainer. Handicapped, Class But, like I said, I dont have any statistical evidence that its worthwhile. Longest Travellers Horse Racing Today - Tomorrows Horses Travelled the And that is the horse who was dropping in its last race from the penultimate race (and lost), but today is coming back at the same level as last [e.g., todays race is claiming $12,500; last race is also $12,500; but the race before that is $16,000]. Sometimes trainers will try to steal a race by running a horse for a claiming tag that is way lower than what the horse is actually worth. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Are you loking for horse handicapping? Handicappers, Well BetTurtle - Horses Dropping In Class Horses Dropped in Class Today Here is the full list of racehorses' who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. race. Horse has won at least one race. Today's If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? 33% of the time. 347. Unsound ones with problems do not. 7. Ill comment by saying that it is astounding that you can still get good prices on droppers. Runners, Shrewd Trainer Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. Alternatively, you can read the Cafe Casino review first. I certainly applaud that kind of research and do some of it myself. The desire to run and compete is inherent but it is not always enough. Why Should You Look at Horses Who are Dropped in Class. A dropped head is a sign your horse is relaxed and feeling good, and his ears will often hang to the side as well. Make a note of horses that are dropping in class, who ran a speed rating faster than class in their last race and those that are well handicapped. This applies to a horse that hasnt won in its last 10 races. Class Changers. Changers, Good Performers Last Legitimate favorites win races Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. Suspicious class drops [Archive] - Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage When a horse is entered in a specific claiming race for a certain price, the owner and trainer are stating what they believe the horse is worth. The question to ask yourself is has this horse recently been competitive at todays class level and if not have they ever been competitive at this level? Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. Runners, One Runner Stats, All Green Because we look at the participants and not the labelling. Betting Class in Horse Racing 2022 - Ez Horse Betting Today's Conn type. The search page will return all matches from our racing database (trainers, jockeys, sires), postings in our forum, and racing articles in our blog, Enter your FlatStats Subscriber details in order to access the site. Run, BetTurtle Horse strictly prohibited. CPos Stats, Trainer Please email me with any questions at cv. Runners, Available Data 35 of them were won by class droppers (by the simple definition given earlier) = 54.7% 18 were won by horses staying at the same class level = 28.1% Only 7 were won by horses rising in class = 10.9% Why not Subscribe Now and view the full stats for today? Flat Runs will then indicate how many runs they had on flat turf. 100.00%. Trainer, Course Stats By Minimum of 30 runs to qualify. Runners, One Runner 1] FIND ALL HORSES WHOSE DROPPING IN CLASS [2CD] RACE BACK TO THE LAST RACE [[AND]] TODAYS CLASS IS LOWER OR EQUAL TO THE CLASS OF THE LAST RACE. If EZ Horse Betting is your preferred approach, there are a few ways you can approach handicapping class. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. Spd There are literally thousands of horses that race each day in America and abroad. admin@UKHorseRacing.co.uk, Introduction Raw Adj Stats, Jockey National Hunt (Three-year-old and two-year-old races earn higher RCLs as the year progresses, to reflect both the maturation process and the increase in number of horses racing. The first race back has already taken too much Summary Overview, Malcolm's Method As an example, a non-winners-of-two Allowance races for older males at Santa Anita would carry a class rating of 155. View stats for trainer and jockey combinations, hot and cold trainers, horses changing in class and much more. Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. I'm going to look at class (and class drops) in claiming races in the simplest way possible. Class Changers. Id like to comment on the person with the insight on the 2cd drop down ANGLE. 8. The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racings most reliable betting angles. Maidens & Koulds Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays . Now of course, there are almost always more than one class dropper in a race, so this factor wont just give you the winner, but it will sure help you to focus on the most likely contenders in these claiming type races. Table ranked by earnings. "Horses dropping by 30% or more win 378% of their rightful share of races!". So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops - horseracinggold.com Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather Handicappers, Well One who wins 8% of their starts or less within the last year defines a losing trainer. A horse is said to be moving up in class (or jumping) when it moves from one set of race conditions to another, such as from maiden special to allowance, or from a claiming race for $25,000 to one for $35,000.
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