We're using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. Washington Nationals (88-74) The NL East is loaded, but any team anchored by Max Scherzer and Juan Soto can't be overlooked. Sure, Opening Day was pushed back a week, but the MLB season is set to play a full 162 games, which was not a given earlier this winter. It was only the Cubs in 2016 and Cardinals in 2015, but the point stands. I don't think they are bottom-feeder level (Orioles, Pirates, Diamondbacks), though. Maybe. No one saw the San Francisco Giants being that good last season, they surpassed their wildest expectations. With considerable improvement expected from Ronald Acua Jr. and Ozzie Albies, ZiPS thinks Atlanta is in good shape, projecting the club for another tie with the Mets at 94 wins apiece. The model has them in third in the AL East, but it would surprise no one to see them win the division. Jose Altuve continues to hit, and the cast around around him continues to get younger. This is tough. Here's what experts think. 3. Our 2022 MLB predictions panel. They have the best hitter of this generation in Mike Trout and the most talented player of all time in Shohei Ohtani, yet they continue to finish below .500. But in this new season, expectations are once again high for them. TeamRankings.com is not affiliated with the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) or March Madness Athletic Association, neither of which has supplied, reviewed, approved or endorsed the material on this site. They will join Joe Musgrove, Yu Darvish and Blake Snell. 2005-2023 Team Rankings, LLC. Picks, tools and data that give you an edge in NFL survivor and knockout style pools. It also highlights the risk of a starting rotation with so many durability worries. Ultimately, this is a total rebuild and the organization isnt thinking about the final MLB standings in 2022. Wed be even higher on this team because of its exciting rotation, if not for the fact Phillys defense is the worst in baseball. The Yankees, Red Sox and Rays are all strong playoff contenders, for me. That is, we'll list the win total for the 2022 season from Caesars Sportsbook and pick whether the team will win more (the "over") or fewer (the "under") games. Hes going to be one of the best players in MLB before long and some even think hell get MVP votes in 2022. Projected Standings, Roster Management, Draft Results, Keeper Management; Coming early January 2023! And with Michael Kopech and Liam Hendriks at the backend of the bullpen, they could be a real weapon to end games in the playoffs. Ronald Acuna Jr. will be back before too long and joins a lineup that still features Ozzie Albies, Austin Riley, Dansby Swanson and Eddie Rosario. But after Los Angeles lost a number of key players and steered clear of this offseasons free-agent bonanza, the clubs grip on the division could be loosening. Robbie Ray, the AL Cy Young winner, is also gone. Sign In. Opening Day is set for Thursday (for 14 teams, at least), and thankfully for baseball fans, we'll still have a full, 162-game season in 2022. Compared to the Brewers and Cardinals, the Cubs dont stack up and thats even after signing outfielder Seiya Suzuki. The . Are the Blue Jays even with the Yankees, or way behind? Read more . However, there is room for improvement in the outfield and wed really want to see a No. Framber Valdez and Luis Garcia are two bright young arms in the rotation, while Verlander looks to return to his Cy Young-winning ways since coming back from Tommy John surgery. MLB is back, but will fans be after ugly offseason? By no means do I think the Rockies are good, nor will they come close to playoff contention. The Cubsare engaging in a rebuild/reload to try and keep the team competition, while also building up its young core again. KC Kansas City Royals. In this space below, we'll grab some totals picks. mlb preview 2022. Let's dig in on the "best team" part, though. But as you might expect, they don't agree on everything. However, pitching is a major concern. Just looking around the NL West, there are two bad teams. Tampa Bay Rays 98-64 2. I like getting late in the signing process and just going offense by adding Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos to Bryce Harper et al in the lineup, though. Atlanta can erase some of our concerns by acquiring Matt Olson. . March 1st, 2023. After winning 99 games in 2022, the Yankees were able to re-sign Aaron Judge and Anthony Rizzo in free agency, and they inked All-Star lefty Carlos Rodnto a six-year contract. Mega Picker; . (As a reminder, Emmanuel Clase did it in 2022 . Unfortunately, the Jacob deGrom injury is a massive blow. We know there are moving parts and differences every single season and the Blue Jays have to replace the career year from Marcus Semien. The model's concerns for Seattle stem from its uncertain pitching depth beyond Ray and Marco Gonzales and the risk of an underperforming infield, but make no mistake, the future is bright in Seattle. By Dom Luszczyszyn. It might sound like an easy pick after the Padres went 79-83 last season and now are going to be without Fernando Tatis, Jr. for weeks or even months. Below are the picks and predictions made by The Sporting News' model for how the 2022 MLB season is . FanGraphs Membership. Let's analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the UFC 285: Shevchenko vs. Grasso odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.. For now, well keep the Yankees in the No. The bullpen and rotation are stronger than last season and the lineup will be productive. They've lost key names over the past several years from George Springer to Justin Verlander (for a season due to injury) and now, most recently, Correa. Behind the Jays, it could go either way between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays. But after an offseason spent filling out their roster with solid role players, ZiPS and PECOTA both think they have a good chance to break their ignominious drought in 2023. It's a good, though not great, mix of position players. CLE Cleveland Guardians. 1:51. Factoring in that advantage along with an electrifying Cardinals bullpen, elite defense and a sufficient lineup, we expect St. Louis in a Wild Card Game. With the money saved by choosing Olson over Freddie Freeman, Atlanta signed Kenley Jansen and Collin McHugh. The Line: Man City -240 / Newcastle United +550 // Total: 2.5. Notably, ZiPS and PECOTA both project the Angels to be significantly better than the Rangers, whose moves have been much splashier than the Halos in the past two offseasons. The return of spring weather brings hope for every team. If the rookies can play up to their projections and immediately become impact talents, this could be an underrated team in 2022. The Blue Jays will, once again, be one of the best fourth-place finishers since MLB went to the six-division format in 1994. Here are 10 predictions that go against general public sentiment, but I still think have a decent shot at happening. PECOTA has the Halos four games ahead of the Mariners and gives them a 54.9% chance of reaching the postseason, the seventh-highest odds in the AL. The slugging corner infielders of Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado make up a powerful middle-of-the-order tandem, and Tommy Edman should help at the top of the lineup. Jose Ramirez can win an MVP, Franmil Reyes is capable of a .800-plus OPS and Myles Straw is an exciting talent. As for the Cubs, neither system likes their postseason chances despite the signings of Swanson, Cody Bellinger, Jameson Taillon, Trey Mancini and Eric Hosmer. In a women's flyweight championship bout on the main card, Valentina Shevchenko takes on Alexa Grasso Saturday at UFC 285 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Pair that with the injury concerns we have for multiple starters, its enough to put this team a tier behind the Blue Jays. Follow the American League and National League races here from USA TODAY. While the MLB season is still a few months away, there has been plenty of excitement to what the new campaign could bring. There's certainly a void in the lineup without Tatis (and once his wrist is fully recovered, do we trust his shoulder to stay put the rest of the way?) Seattle strengthened its young core of Jarred Kelenic and Julio Rodriguez by trading for Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez from Cincinnati and signing reigning Cy Young winner Robbie Ray. Look, I know they do some sort of sorcery there, but the pitching depth is depleted and that's a rough division. In fact, they lost their top free agent, shortstop Dansby Swanson, to the Cubs. The model works by using past player data to project how they will perform in 2022. With that, multiple analysts within The Athletes Hub have sat down and explained their personal opinions on what could take place. PECOTA, however, sees a sizable gap of roughly five games between them, with the Mets on top. However, the Mets will still be in a prime position to compete and will likely make a big splash in the 2023 postseason. Meanwhile, ZiPS not only projects the Cards to win a second straight NL Central title but also gives St. Louis the largest margin of victory (seven games) of any of the projected division champions. Fastest MLB pitches in 2022, fastest pitch in college, Best batting average of all time: Top MLB hitters by career average, best BA in 2021. 2023 projected standings for major league baseball teams. With the exception of a 107-win season from the Giants in 2021, the Dodgers have owned the NL West for the past decade. MLB OFFSEASON GRADES:Dodgers, Mets earn high marks; Yankees confuse. It was a surprise to see theCubs spendsemi-big onSeiya Suzuki and Marcus Stroman and Chicago enters the new season with most of the roster turned over Cincinnati stayed in the hunt into September last season, but now they'vetraded Sonny Gray, Jesse Winker andEugenio Suarez. It isn't that simple, even if it sounds like it should be. ET (ESPN). College Basketball Week 17 Top 25 Predictions Note: Projected winners are listed in bold. With that said, adding Chris Archer is a nice low-risk, high-reward move that should add more stability to Minnesotas pitching staff. Below are the picks and predictions made by The Sporting News' model for how the 2022 MLB season is going to unfold. Let's take a look at each game with odds from DraftKings . The rotation looks well-rounded with three experienced starters at the top in Marcus Stroman, Kyle Hendricks and Wade Miley. Fun fact: He finished the 2016, 2018, 2019 and 2021 seasons with a combined batting average in the .290s, so maybe it wasn't surprising that he finished his first MLB season 91 games for the . MLB, NBA, CBB, GOLF, NHL, HORSE RACING AND MORE - PLUS ADVANCED COMPUTER SIMULATIONS, WINNING . Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. TEX Texas Rangers. But we're making a call to the bullpen and asking five MLB.com writers to give it their best shot. My hunch this year is they'll be less extreme and steadily work toward somewhere in the low-to-mid 80s in wins. The Rays have won the division two years in a rowbut didn't do much to upgrade,and have a lot riding on Wander Franco (and his new 11-year, $182 million contract)taking a significant step forward Yankees fans may have hated the offseason, but the team didn't get significantly worse over the winter. They didn't re-sign Miley and traded away franchise icons Winker and Suarez in a salary dump before signing Tommy Pham, Donovan Solano, Colin Moran and trading for Mike Minor. and that rotation is littered with question marks after Joe Musgrove. Are we really counting on Miles Mikolas and Dakota Hudson, then? Related: Get Paramount Plus today and watch live sports for an unbeatable price! Edward Sutelan is a content producer at The Sporting News. Patrick Wisdom and Frank Schwindel each had solid debut seasons in 2021, and return as established starters with Ian Happ and Willson Contreras. While Cleveland missed the playoffs last year, they also have finished no lower than third in the AL Central since 2012. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. Texans spent heavily on Corey Seager and Marcus Semien, adding two All-Star hitters to the lineup. 0:00. Team: Wins: Losses: Chicago White Sox: 85: 77: The results of each simulation are tallied together to create the most likely outcomes of the divisions, playoffs and World Series. Having also crammed these past few weeks, USA TODAY Sports presents its 2022 record predictions, an annual exercise in prognostication attempting to make sense of what went down this offseason and how it fits into team trajectory. We also like the depth pieces added to the staff (Carlos Martinez, Matt Boyd) and it will prove crucial this year. See how your team stacks up against the rest of Major League Baseball with league, division, and playoff standings. New York Mets - 94-68 (101-61 in 2022, 2nd in NLE) It's tough to predict a regression for the Mets, but we truly believe their 2023 campaign will be a bit less successful than their 2022 campaign. 5 starter. Case in point, Jon Lester had a 4.36 ERA compared to a 5.40 FIP in 12 starts last season after they acquired him and he's now retired. From now on, all these projections will update every morning to reflect the latest . Is it as simple as looking at their negative-51 run differential, which carried with it and expected 76-86 record? We should also mention the Phillies, who went further than both the Mets and Braves in the 2022 postseason before losing to the Astros in the World Series. The rotation lost Robbie Ray but added Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi. The Braves, on the other hand, werent a major player in free agency. They still have Juan Soto, who continues to receive Ted Williams' comparisons, but the rest of the team is a bit unknown. Dropping $500 million on a new middle infield (Corey Seager and Marcus Semien)got plenty of attention for the Rangers An ongoing clearance sale has the Athletics expected to finish last,but Sean Manaea and Frankie Montas give Oakland a little bit of upward mobility if they don't get shipped off, too. It might not matter right now, but it will cost them multiple games and potentially a playoff spot. Instead, they missed the playoffs. Everyone should. The deepest lineup in baseball got deeper when it signed Freddie Freeman to help offset the loss of Seager. Find the Pistons vs Cavaliers odds below. They are picked as a slight favorite to win the Commissioner's Trophy, just edging out the Blue Jays. Well give credit to the Chicago Cubs for not tearing everything down and beginning a total rebuild. ZiPS has it as a much closer race, projecting the Yankees for 89 wins and the Blue Jays for 88. Only enabled for screen sizes > 1024px. With Freddie Freeman joining the mix, the Dodgers are undoubtedly the best team in MLB. Each game is then simulated 20,000 times with park factors included in each matchup. Here are predictions for the 2022 MLB season, including complete standings, playoff teams and the World Series winner. The system also thinks theres still a gulf between the Dodgers and Padres, projecting Los Angeles for 96.1 wins and the Padres for 92.6. filling out their roster with solid role players. Read on for predictions for every game involving a Top 25 team on the schedule over the next seven days. ET, with the prelims on ESPNews/ESPN+ starting at 8 p.m. Maybe it's a case where I just didn't learn my lesson. MLB insider Bob Nightengale examines if the fans will forgive league for ugly offseason. The moves made this offseason ensure this team will be competitive, maybe even enough to play in October under a 14-team playoff format. This should be very difficult, as every team -- at least in theory -- should have a total right around where it is expected to finish. PECOTA is much less bullish on the Giants, giving them a winning percentage below .500 and less than a 1% chance of winning the division. Pitching depth will be crucial because of the compressed training period before the regular season starts. Bryan Reynolds was a highlight for the team in 2021 as he earned an All-Star nod, and Ke'Bryan Hayes showed potential to be the next face of the franchise. Things have frantically fallen into place since the new labor deal came together on March 10, with every team trying to jam most of its winter moves into just a few weeks. Carlos Rodon is gone, but Michael Kopech is waiting in the wings to take over as the No. EX. Major League Leaders . Even if they are the only one this time around, I like the Dodgers to keep MLB's 100-win streak going. Comprehensive Major League Baseball news, scores, standings, fantasy games, rumors, and more Trained by Michael McCarthy, Lugan Knight has two wins, one second and . They'll be one of the best home teams in baseball this year. There was a point in the 2021 season when it felt the Mets were going to run away with the division. How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. I'm counting on a huge year from Matt Chapman (as outlined in the preview) while the rotation has a full year of Jos Berros, a full year of Alek Manoah and newly-signed Kevin Gausman coming. The Phillieswere one of several teams competing near the end of the season for a wild card spot before the Cardinals went on their wild winning streak to take away that final spot. The Blue Jays have constructed one of the most talented rosters in the AL, combining impressive young players such as Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette, Alejandro Kirk and Alek Manoah with veteran stars such as George Springer, Kevin Gausman and Matt Chapman, but the club has yet to break through as an AL powerhouse. Payroll is the one thing keeping the Cleveland Guardians from putting up a great fight against Chicago. 2022 Year to Date: 2023 Projected Rest of Season: 2023 Projected Full Season: Team G W L W% RDif RS/G RA/G G W L W% RDif RS/G AL Central predictions. I'm more a fan of being right and this one was just pulling me in. The Sporting News' model sees the Blue Jays as a slim favorite to win the division over the Yankees, Rays and Red Sox, but it expects all four teams to reach the playoffs. We also like the move to acquire both Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez. If the 2021 Mariners were a 76-win true talent team and their true talent this season is, say, eight games better, they'd go 84-78, right? 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. However, the Yankees lineup could be without 60% of its production whenever it plays in Toronto. 2022, 2021, 2022 MLB Pitching, 2022 MLB Batting, 2022 MLB Standings, 2022 MLB Attendance, 2022 MLB Rookies , . There wasn't a better trio of starting pitchers in baseball last year than those onthe Brewers. Is the NL West a two- or three-team race? They added Cy Young winner Robbie Ray and 2021 All-Stars in Adam Frazier and Jesse Winker Nobody really knows what to make of theAngels. CHW Chicago White Sox. But neither system is buying Texas as a contender in 2023. MLB 2022 win totals: Predicting every team's record for the new season. Tyler Stephenson finishes with 20+ home runs, 80+ runs, and 80+ RBIs. Milwaukee finished with a DEF of 56, which was eight more runs than the next best team. TeamRankings.com is solely responsible for this site but makes no guarantee about the accuracy or completeness of the information herein. I'm not a Phillies fan. 7. Top 2023 Gotham Stakes predictions One shocker: Demling is high on Lugan Knight, who is tied for third in the odds, at 6-1. MLB predictions 2022: Final standings, playoff projections, World Series odds for every team, Trading for Matt Chapman a better fit for rising Blue Jays than signing Freddie Freeman, Reds, As top list of five MLB fan bases experiencing post-lockout blues, Dodgers, Mets earn high marks; Yankees confuse, Seiya Suzuki has won over Cubs' clubhouse; next impression will come with bat, Cody Bellinger is struggling again, but Dodgers are so good that it might not matter. It makes them the team to beat in the NL Central, especially if Christian Yelich rebounds and Kolten Wong stays healthy. The tip-off is set for 7:30 pm ET at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. What is surprising, however, is that ZiPS also puts the Giants squarely in this race at 88-74. The St. Louis Cardinals strengthened their rotation depth this offseason, signing Steven Matz. You can do it! The rotation will get a boost from the return of Mike Clevinger and the trade acquisition of Manaea. The Mariners, as currently constructed, are going to be a better, more well-rounded baseball team in 2022 than they were in 2021. Putting the Houston Astros atop the AL West in our MLB predictions today was easy. The lineup dips after Jose Ramirez, and even with the powerful bat of Franmil Reyes, Cleveland lacks true support for its star third baseman. This is an admittedly risky venture. But just who will it be that claims the Commissioner's Trophy at the end of the year? They've got that again in 2022. A complete list of this year's voters: . There are question marks all over the place, as I explained in the preview. Acquiring Sonny Gray improves the rotation, but it could still use a front-line starter. The Phillies enter the season probably, objectively, a worse team than both the Braves and Mets in the NL East. Statistical data provided by Gracenote. NL Playoffs: Wild-Card Series A: Mets over Brewers The Cherries are 19th in the standings with 21 points but trail Leeds United by one for 17th place. With the last few days of build up comes all kinds of predictions, picks, best bets and the like. Pittsburgh is waiting for the Mitch Keller breakout to happen this spring, he's shown glimpses that it could be on the way as the rotation starts to weave in younger arms like Bryse Wilson and Roansy Contreras. Like the Tigers,the Royals are loaded with MLB-ready talent from Bobby Witt Jr., MJ Melendez and Nick Pratto all expected to reach the big leagues at some point during the season to add to an offense that already includes Salvador Perez, Nicky Lopez and Whit Merrifield. Last Year's Record: 91-71 Over/Under: 92.5 The Blue Jays were just one game shy of making the postseason last year in a division that featured four teams winning more than 90 games. The offense is stacked with names like Luis Robert, Tim Anderson, Yoan Moncada and Jose Abreu. Coming off an 81-81 campaign, San Francisco had an offseason that can best be described as OK. The Giants had grand designs to add a superstar, but they came up short in the Judge sweepstakes and walked away from a deal with Carlos Correa, reportedly due to concerns about his physical. Theyll be better than the Pittsburgh Pirates, but at least we can say we like the outlook for Pittsburghs future. The Piratesremain fully in rebuild mode, but the young talent in the system is starting to reach the big leagues. There has been a lot going on in the AL West since the 2021 season came to an end, and the model expects the standings to turn out about as one might expect. As for the Royals, 2022 is centered Bobby Witt Jr. and MJ Melendez. It's hard to see that changing in 2022 with a new crop of players in the AL Central. . Way-Too-Early 2022 MLB Predictions. With just days to go until Opening Day, hope is high among all teams that this will be their year to win a World Series or at least have an enjoyable 162-game season. The rotation is strong, especially after signing Carlos Rodn. The Cardinals pitching may be a question mark, but the club has an excellent defense and good roster depth, not to mention a lineup featuring reigning NL MVP Paul Goldschmidt at first base, perennial All-Star Nolan Arenado at third and new addition Willson Contreras at catcher.
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